Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Lower , Shaw Heights
Tract 08001009407 · Adams County, CO · pop 5,052 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In the Hillcrest area of Shaw Heights, census tract 08001009407 scores 6.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.
74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,837 a month against an average household income of $76,431 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,821
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$76,431
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shaw Heights and the region
Centroid at 39.8600, -105.0389 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillcrest scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shaw Heights
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,837 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaw Heights
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaw Heights
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaw Heights
6.0
How Hillcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 473Total filings over 5 yrs
- 15.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.4%Peak (2004)
- 65Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hillcrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaw Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Adams County average of 6.3 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 473 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 15.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.4% of renter households in 2004.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 08001009407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001009407?
Census tract 08001009407 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08001009407?
Median gross rent is $1,837/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08001009407?
9.3% of residents in tract 08001009407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,052.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08001009407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 58th, minority 65th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 08001009407 considered part of Hillcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08001009407 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001009407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 473 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08001009407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.20% of renter households, peaking at 22.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08001009407 compare to Shaw Heights overall?
Tract 08001009407 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Shaw Heights at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaw Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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