Mead Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

At $3,501 a month, rents run 91% over what the rest of Aurora commands. The voucher gap is 63.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Arapahoe County average of 50.1%. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.3% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Arapahoe County average of 4.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.