Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 08005081102 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 2,365 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 08005081102 covers the Willow Park area of Aurora, home to 2,365 residents. For landlords it grades 6.5/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,528 a month while the average household earns $44,705 a year, roughly 41% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 15% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,147

Renter share47.2%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate16.6%

Median income$44,705

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.6986, -104.8146 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Colorado legislature & governorship

4.7

Economic stress

16.6% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$1,528 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

How Willow Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Park

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Arapahoe County average of 6.3 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005081102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005081102?

Census tract 08005081102 in the Willow Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 08005081102?

Median gross rent is $1,528/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005081102?

16.6% of residents in tract 08005081102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,365.

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005081102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 97th, minority 80th, housing 71th.

Is tract 08005081102 considered part of Willow Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005081102 fall within Willow Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 08005081102 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005081102 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.