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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Terry Lake Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Collins

Tract 08069001308 · Larimer County, CO · pop 5,777 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 08069001308 sits in the Terry Lake Shores area of Fort Collins eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 5,777. 53% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 5% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,352
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$106,641

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Terry Lake Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#454 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.6355, -105.0468 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terry Lake Shores scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,031 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Terry Lake Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terry Lake Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0013085.9Fort Collinsparent city5.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak (2010)
  • 1Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terry Lake Shores

Cost burden runs 77% here against 46.1% across Larimer County. The dominant input is local political climate at 7.5/10. The voucher gap is 19.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,031 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Fort Collins commands. On the softer side, economic stress reads 3/10.

Court records carry 1 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2010, when 0.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069001308

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069001308?

Census tract 08069001308 in the Terry Lake Shores neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069001308?

Median gross rent is $2,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069001308?

12.0% of residents in tract 08069001308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,777.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069001308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 21th, minority 17th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 08069001308 considered part of Terry Lake Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069001308 fall within Terry Lake Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069001308?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069001308 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.40% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069001308 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069001308 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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