Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Grandview Eviction Risk: Lower , Erie
Tract 08123002007 ·
Weld County, CO · pop 6,860 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 08123002007 covers part of the Grandview area of Erie, CO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 8%Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,511
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$136,023
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Grandview
Moderate
Within parent city
25th percentile
#4 of 5 tracts In Erie
Low
Within county
15th percentile
#71 of 83 tracts In Weld County
Very Low
Within state
11th percentile
#1,290 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 40.0367, -105.0446 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grandview scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,871 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
4.1
How Grandview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
28%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grandview
Average gross rent is $1,871, 33% below the Erie average. The voucher gap is 22.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Weld County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.2/10.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $136,023, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08123002007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08123002007?
Census tract 08123002007 in the Grandview neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08123002007?
Median gross rent is $1,871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08123002007?
1.6% of residents in tract 08123002007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,860.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08123002007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 19th, minority 34th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 08123002007 considered part of Grandview?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08123002007 fall within Grandview (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 08123002007 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 08123002007 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Erie at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.