Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Capitol Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover
Tract 10001041300 · Kent County, DE · pop 2,135 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 10001041300 in the Capitol Green area of Dover, DE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,135. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units940
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate35.2%
Median income$37,050
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 39.1532, -75.5202 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitol Green scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
35.2% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$967 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5
How Capitol Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 800Total filings over 9 yrs
- 13.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.3%Peak (2016)
- 84Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.3%Housing insecurity
- 17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.6%Food insecurity
- 33.9%SNAP enrollment
- 16.0%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitol Green
Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Kent County at 44.8%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.8/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
At $967 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Dover commands. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 30.6% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Kent County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Housing insecurity runs 23.3% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 800 evictions over 9 years of observation.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 10001041300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041300?
Census tract 10001041300 in the Capitol Green neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10001041300?
Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041300?
35.2% of residents in tract 10001041300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,135.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 97th, minority 66th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 10001041300 considered part of Capitol Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041300 fall within Capitol Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001041300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 800 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001041300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.98% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10001041300 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10001041300 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 10001041300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
Woodcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Fairview
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Sherwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Mayfair
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Dupont Manor
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Oak Grove
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Grand Oaks
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Voshell Cove
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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