Duckpond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 324 eviction filings across 8 observed years.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2002 at 5.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. It tracks the Alachua County average of 4.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,297, close to the Gainesville average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $65,563.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.