Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Duckpond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville
Tract 12001000500 · Alachua County, FL · pop 4,844 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 12001000500 in the Duckpond area of Gainesville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,844 residents. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,297 a month while the average household earns $65,563 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,607
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$65,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 29.6568, -82.3169 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duckpond scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,297 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0
How Duckpond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 324Total filings over 8 yrs
- 2.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2002)
- 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 175Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duckpond. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duckpond
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alachua County average of 4.9 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.89x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12001000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001000500?
Census tract 12001000500 in the Duckpond neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12001000500?
Median gross rent is $1,297/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12001000500?
21.4% of residents in tract 12001000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,844.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12001000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 15th, minority 36th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 12001000500 considered part of Duckpond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001000500 fall within Duckpond (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 324 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.94% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12001000500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12001000500 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 12001000500 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Hume Residential Area
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Fraternity Row
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Idylwild
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
University Village South
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Beville Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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