Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005002609 · Bay, FL · pop 5,630
12005002609 is a census tract in Upper Grand Lagoon, FL. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,630 residents. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,364
Renter share38.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$76,600
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Upper Grand Lagoon and the region
Centroid at 30.1899, -85.7529 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Grand Lagoon scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,617 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.3
How Upper Grand Lagoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Grand Lagoon
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Bay County average of 54.8%. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Bay County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,617, close to the Upper Grand Lagoon average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $76,600. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002609
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002609?
Census tract 12005002609 in Upper Grand Lagoon scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002609?
Median gross rent is $1,617/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002609?
10.3% of residents in tract 12005002609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,630.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002609?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 84th, minority 44th, housing 96th.
Q5
How does tract 12005002609 compare to Upper Grand Lagoon overall?
Tract 12005002609 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Upper Grand Lagoon at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon
Top eight tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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