Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Shorewalk Eviction Risk: Lower , Panama City Beach
Tract 12005002703 · Bay, FL · pop 3,562 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
12005002703 is a census tract in the Shorewalk area of Panama City Beach, FL. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,562 residents. Against Bay County at 54.8%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,558
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$85,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Panama City Beach and the region
Centroid at 30.2211, -85.8675 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shorewalk scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Panama City Beach
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Panama City Beach
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Panama City Beach
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Panama City Beach
6.1
How Shorewalk compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 164Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2011)
- 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shorewalk. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shorewalk
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Court records carry 164 eviction filings across 10 observed years.
At $1,606 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Panama City Beach commands. Filings peaked in 2011 at 8.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Bay County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $85,139.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002703?
Census tract 12005002703 in the Shorewalk neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002703?
Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002703?
9.0% of residents in tract 12005002703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 62th, minority 32th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 12005002703 considered part of Shorewalk?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12005002703 fall within Shorewalk (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005002703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.45% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12005002703 compare to Panama City Beach overall?
Tract 12005002703 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Panama City Beach at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Panama City Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Panama City Beach
Top eight tracts in Panama City Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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