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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Golden Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12021010421 · Collier, FL · pop 5,340

Census tract 12021010421 covers part of Golden Gate, FL, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,340 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 24% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,382
Renter share65.3%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$61,630

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Golden Gate
Moderate
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 108 tracts In Collier
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#964 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Golden Gate and the region

Centroid at 26.1890, -81.6949 · click any tract to drill in

Why Golden Gate scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Golden Gate
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,784 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Golden Gate
7.5

How Golden Gate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Golden Gate risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0104214.2Golden Gateparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Golden Gate

Adults with no health insurance runs 31.7% against 11.3% nationally. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $61,630 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Collier County average of 52.8%.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

It sits 1.4 points above the Collier County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12021010421

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010421?

Census tract 12021010421 in Golden Gate scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12021010421?

Median gross rent is $1,784/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010421?

12.1% of residents in tract 12021010421 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,340.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010421?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 58th, minority 92th, housing 33th.
Q5

How does tract 12021010421 compare to Golden Gate overall?

Tract 12021010421 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Golden Gate at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Golden Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Golden Gate

Top eight tracts in Golden Gate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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