Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
South Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031000600 · Duval, FL · pop 5,327 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
12031000600 is a census tract in the South Jacksonville area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,664
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$50,059
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3029, -81.6373 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Jacksonville scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How South Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 30%Grade C
- 13%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 511Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2002)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 425Total filings 2020-21
- 5.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Jacksonville
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. At $961 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Duval County average of 49.2%. Court records carry 511 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031000600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031000600?
Census tract 12031000600 in the South Jacksonville neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031000600?
Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031000600?
19.5% of residents in tract 12031000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,327.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031000600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 81th, minority 76th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 12031000600 considered part of South Jacksonville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031000600 fall within South Jacksonville (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031000600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 511 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.50% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031000600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031000600 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031000600 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031000600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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