Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
South Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031000600 · Duval, FL · pop 5,327 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
For landlords sizing up the South Jacksonville area of Jacksonville, census tract 12031000600 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $961 a month against an average household income of $50,059 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,664
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$50,059
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3029, -81.6373 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How South Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 30%Grade C
- 13%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 511Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2002)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 425Total filings 2020-21
- 5.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Jacksonville
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 511 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2002.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.41x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031000600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031000600?
Census tract 12031000600 in the South Jacksonville neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031000600?
Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031000600?
19.5% of residents in tract 12031000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,327.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031000600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 81th, minority 76th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 12031000600 considered part of South Jacksonville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031000600 fall within South Jacksonville (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031000600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 511 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.50% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031000600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031000600 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031000600 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031000600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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