Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. At $1,206 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $52,103.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.