Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031015805 · Duval, FL · pop 6,054
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12031015805 in Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,054. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,923
Renter share68.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$57,529
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3124, -81.5674 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,165 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,628Total filings 2020-21
- 21.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 18.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,165, 20% below the Jacksonville average. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 53% of renters. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $57,529.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031015805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031015805?
Census tract 12031015805 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031015805?
Median gross rent is $1,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031015805?
27.4% of residents in tract 12031015805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,054.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031015805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 55th, minority 79th, housing 78th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 12031015805 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 12031015805 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031015805 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031002802
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011600
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015502
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014414
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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