Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031014702 · Duval, FL · pop 2,801
Tract 12031014702 sits in Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 2,801 residents. The severe-burden share is 66%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,032
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$71,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3816, -81.5831 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,355 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 119Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2002)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 88Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Cost burden runs 83% here against 49.2% across Duval County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. Court records carry 119 eviction filings across 10 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 7.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,355, close to the Jacksonville average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $71,207. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014702?
Census tract 12031014702 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014702?
Median gross rent is $1,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014702?
35.9% of residents in tract 12031014702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,801.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 94th, minority 72th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.64% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031014702 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014702 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Sans Pareil
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031017400
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013525
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mill Creek North
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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