Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Cary Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031010502 · Duval, FL · pop 4,050 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Cary area of Jacksonville anchors census tract 12031010502, which lands at 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 11th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 15% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,086 monthly, set against $84,030 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,710
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$84,030
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4539, -81.7975 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cary scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,086 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Cary compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 166Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cary. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cary
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Duval County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.29x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031010502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031010502?
Census tract 12031010502 in the Cary neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031010502?
Median gross rent is $2,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031010502?
7.6% of residents in tract 12031010502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,050.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031010502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 9th, minority 75th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 12031010502 considered part of Cary?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031010502 fall within Cary (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031010502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031010502 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031010502 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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