Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Cary Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031010501 · Duval, FL · pop 5,635 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Eviction risk in the Cary neighborhood of Jacksonville centers on tract 12031010501, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,635 residents. That is riskier than about 21% of US census tracts.
About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $86,382 a year. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,696
Renter share9.3%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$86,382
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4682, -81.7690 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cary scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Cary compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 180Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cary. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cary
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Duval County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031010501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031010501?
Census tract 12031010501 in the Cary neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031010501?
11.2% of residents in tract 12031010501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,635.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031010501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 29th, minority 84th, housing 61th.
Q4
Is tract 12031010501 considered part of Cary?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031010501 fall within Cary (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 12031010501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 12031010501 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031010501 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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