Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The Wilderness Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016803 · Duval, FL · pop 6,873 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 12031016803 covers part of the The Wilderness area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 6% here against 49.2% across Duval County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,716
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$109,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.1450, -81.6152 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Wilderness scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How The Wilderness compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 71Total filings over 10 yrs
- 3.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2009)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 61Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Wilderness
Average gross rent is $2,167, 48% above the Jacksonville average. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 25.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Court records carry 71 eviction filings across 10 observed years. It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 5.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016803?
Census tract 12031016803 in the The Wilderness neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016803?
Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 6% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016803?
6.0% of residents in tract 12031016803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,873.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 53th, minority 21th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016803 considered part of The Wilderness?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016803 fall within The Wilderness (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016803?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.16% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016803 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016803 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016803 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031011600
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002802
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014414
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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