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Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 12031002801 · Duval, FL · pop 4,581

Census tract 12031002801 runs through Jacksonville in Duval County. With 4,581 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #32,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 54% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,080 a month against an average household income of $28,581 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 17% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share54.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate49.4%
Median income$28,581

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3574, -81.6984 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacksonville scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
49.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,080 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Jacksonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jacksonville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 002801Jacksonville: 2.52.5Jacksonvilleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 937Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 12.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.5%Peak (2002)
  • 108Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310028012002: 130 filings (19.54/100 renter HHs)2007: 101 filings (13.22/100 renter HHs)2009: 85 filings (11.12/100 renter HHs)2010: 48 filings (6.45/100 renter HHs)2011: 83 filings (11.19/100 renter HHs)2012: 79 filings (10.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 80 filings (10.78/100 renter HHs)2014: 112 filings (15.09/100 renter HHs)2015: 111 filings (14.96/100 renter HHs)2016: 108 filings (13.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 877Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.50×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 15 filings (1.74× baseline)2020-02-01: 15 filings (4.69× baseline)2020-03-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2020-08-01: 22 filings (2.56× baseline)2020-09-01: 15 filings (1.39× baseline)2020-10-01: 12 filings (1.40× baseline)2020-11-01: 16 filings (2.05× baseline)2020-12-01: 12 filings (1.40× baseline)2021-01-01: 11 filings (1.28× baseline)2021-02-01: 17 filings (5.31× baseline)2021-03-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 10 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-05-01: 6 filings (0.65× baseline)2021-06-01: 15 filings (2.03× baseline)2021-07-01: 12 filings (1.05× baseline)2021-08-01: 11 filings (1.28× baseline)2021-09-01: 20 filings (1.85× baseline)2021-10-01: 7 filings (0.81× baseline)2021-11-01: 12 filings (1.54× baseline)2021-12-01: 16 filings (1.86× baseline)2022-01-01: 9 filings (1.05× baseline)2022-02-01: 15 filings (4.69× baseline)2022-03-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2022-04-01: 18 filings (2.25× baseline)2022-05-01: 12 filings (1.30× baseline)2022-06-01: 24 filings (3.24× baseline)2022-07-01: 21 filings (1.84× baseline)2022-08-01: 19 filings (2.21× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (0.46× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (0.93× baseline)2022-11-01: 12 filings (1.54× baseline)2022-12-01: 13 filings (1.51× baseline)2023-01-01: 15 filings (1.74× baseline)2023-02-01: 15 filings (4.69× baseline)2023-03-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2023-04-01: 10 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-05-01: 12 filings (1.30× baseline)2023-06-01: 14 filings (1.89× baseline)2023-07-01: 9 filings (0.79× baseline)2023-08-01: 7 filings (0.81× baseline)2023-09-01: 12 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-10-01: 11 filings (1.28× baseline)2023-11-01: 14 filings (1.79× baseline)2023-12-01: 12 filings (1.40× baseline)2024-01-01: 14 filings (1.63× baseline)2024-02-01: 12 filings (3.75× baseline)2024-03-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-05-01: 11 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-06-01: 12 filings (1.62× baseline)2024-07-01: 16 filings (1.40× baseline)2024-08-01: 12 filings (1.40× baseline)2024-09-01: 7 filings (0.65× baseline)2024-10-01: 17 filings (1.98× baseline)2024-11-01: 8 filings (1.03× baseline)2024-12-01: 9 filings (1.05× baseline)2025-01-01: 16 filings (1.86× baseline)2025-02-01: 20 filings (6.25× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 11 filings (1.38× baseline)2025-05-01: 14 filings (1.52× baseline)2025-06-01: 12 filings (1.62× baseline)2025-07-01: 13 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-09-01: 8 filings (0.74× baseline)2025-10-01: 20 filings (2.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (1.28× baseline)2025-12-01: 12 filings (1.40× baseline)2026-01-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 937 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 12.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.5% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031002801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002801?

Census tract 12031002801 in Jacksonville scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031002801?

Median gross rent is $1,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002801?

49.4% of residents in tract 12031002801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,581.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 90th, minority 95th, housing 55th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 937 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.61% of renter households, peaking at 19.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031002801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031002801 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031002801 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12031002801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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