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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12031002802 · Duval, FL · pop 5,562

12031002802 is a census tract in Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,562. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 26% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,160
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$29,178

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 218 tracts In Duval
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3436, -81.6898 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacksonville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$908 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Jacksonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jacksonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0028023.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 985Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 14.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.9%Peak (2007)
  • 119Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031002802
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 598Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville

Average gross rent is $908, 38% below the Jacksonville average. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $29,178, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Against Duval County at 49.2%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 985 filings here across 10 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.6% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 18.9% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.2% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031002802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002802?

Census tract 12031002802 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031002802?

Median gross rent is $908/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002802?

31.2% of residents in tract 12031002802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,562.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 84th, minority 94th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 985 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.15% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031002802 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031002802 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031002802 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12031002802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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