Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 12031002802 · Duval, FL · pop 5,562
In Jacksonville, census tract 12031002802 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $908 monthly, set against $29,178 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,160
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$29,178
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3436, -81.6898 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$908 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 985Total filings over 10 yrs
- 14.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.9%Peak (2007)
- 119Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 598Total filings 2020-21
- 7.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 81% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 985 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 14.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.9% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031002802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002802?
Census tract 12031002802 in Jacksonville scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031002802?
Median gross rent is $908/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002802?
31.2% of residents in tract 12031002802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 84th, minority 94th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 985 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.15% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031002802 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031002802 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12031002802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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