Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031002802 · Duval, FL · pop 5,562
12031002802 is a census tract in Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,562. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3436, -81.6898 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 985Total filings over 10 yrs
- 14.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.9%Peak (2007)
- 119Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 598Total filings 2020-21
- 7.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Average gross rent is $908, 38% below the Jacksonville average. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $29,178, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally.
Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Against Duval County at 49.2%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 985 filings here across 10 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.6% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 18.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.2% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 12031002802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002802?
What is the average rent in tract 12031002802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002802?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002802?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002802 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031002802 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Was tract 12031002802 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.