Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031012602 · Duval, FL · pop 6,857
Census tract 12031012602 covers part of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,857 residents. 72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Duval County average of 49.2%.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,639
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate35.1%
Median income$47,481
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2802, -81.7573 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.1% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,452 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,210Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.4%Peak (2015)
- 157Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 989Total filings 2020-21
- 12.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.15×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $47,481, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running hot, economic stress reads 8.8/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
The filing record is not thin: 1,210 evictions over 10 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 13.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 12.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031012602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031012602?
Census tract 12031012602 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031012602?
Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031012602?
35.1% of residents in tract 12031012602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,857.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031012602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 92th, minority 79th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031012602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,210 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031012602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.96% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031012602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031012602 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031012602 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013302
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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