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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Greenland Oaks of Mandarin Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031016809 · Duval, FL · pop 5,589 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 12031016809 sits in the Greenland Oaks of Mandarin area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. 92% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Duval County average of 49.2%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 1% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,823
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$110,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Greenland Oaks of Mandarin
Very High
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#146 of 218 tracts In Duval
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.1532, -81.5647 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greenland Oaks of Mandarin scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,683 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Greenland Oaks of Mandarin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greenland Oaks of Mandarin risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0168093.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 16Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greenland Oaks of Mandarin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greenland Oaks of Mandarin

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,683 a month, rents run 83% over what the rest of Jacksonville commands.

The voucher gap is 55.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $110,625.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031016809

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016809?

Census tract 12031016809 in the Greenland Oaks of Mandarin neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031016809?

Median gross rent is $2,683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 92% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016809?

10.8% of residents in tract 12031016809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,589.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016809?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 36th, minority 53th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 12031016809 considered part of Greenland Oaks of Mandarin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016809 fall within Greenland Oaks of Mandarin (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031016809 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031016809 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031016809 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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