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Neighborhood

Eviction Risk in Tallulah-North Shore , Jacksonville

Tract 12031000102 · Duval, FL · pop 2,646 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 12031000102 sits in the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood of Jacksonville, Florida. It has a population of 2,646 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 59% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 40% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,192/month against a median household income of $22,983 — roughly 62% rent-to-income at the medians.

Eviction Risk
5.6
Moderate tier · 1-10 composite
Confidence 100%
Rent burden
59%
40% severely burdened (≥50%)
Median rent
$1,192
vs county FMR_2BR: -31%
Median household income
$22,983
42.4% below poverty line
Where

Tract location

Centroid at 30.3792, -81.6470. Drag to explore.

Demographics

Racial & ethnic composition

Black-White Neighborhood — 2,448 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).

Hispanic / Latino: 7.8% White (non-Hispanic): 42.4% Black (non-Hispanic): 45.3% Asian (non-Hispanic): 3.4% Other / Multiracial: 1.1%
  • Hispanic / Latino 7.8%
  • White (non-Hispanic) 42.4%
  • Black (non-Hispanic) 45.3%
  • Asian (non-Hispanic) 3.4%
  • Other / Multiracial 1.1%
Score breakdown

How the 5.6/10 score is composed

Signal Score Source
Filing rate (county) 8.4 Eviction Lab via counties
State political climate 1.5 states.state_political_baseline
Regional political climate 5.2 2024 county presidential margin
Local political climate 3.0 Jacksonville (inherited)
Rent control risk 1.0 Jacksonville (inherited)
Eviction process difficulty 2.5 state law
Tenant organizing strength 2.5 Jacksonville (inherited)
Housing court bias 3.0 Jacksonville (inherited)
Economic stress (tract) 10.0 this tract poverty rate
Supply constraint (tract) 1.9 tract rent vs county FMR
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 390Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.69× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (0.91× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.96× baseline)2020-09-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-10-01: 7 filings (1.06× baseline)2020-11-01: 6 filings (1.67× baseline)2020-12-01: 27 filings (6.75× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-03-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.58× baseline)2021-06-01: 10 filings (1.56× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.58× baseline)2021-09-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (0.91× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.95× baseline)2022-03-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (0.87× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.77× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.78× baseline)2022-07-01: 8 filings (1.38× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (1.35× baseline)2022-09-01: 9 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (1.21× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (0.83× baseline)2022-12-01: 10 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (1.21× baseline)2023-02-01: 8 filings (1.90× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2023-04-01: 9 filings (1.96× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (0.58× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (0.78× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (1.03× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.58× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.45× baseline)2023-11-01: 5 filings (1.39× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (1.38× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 7 filings (1.52× baseline)2024-05-01: 6 filings (1.15× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (1.03× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.15× baseline)2024-09-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.61× baseline)2024-11-01: 6 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (1.21× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (0.95× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (1.52× baseline)2025-05-01: 4 filings (0.77× baseline)2025-06-01: 9 filings (1.41× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (0.69× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (0.58× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (0.76× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.83× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tallulah-North Shore. Closest by composite score.

Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
1930s HOLC grade · historical context

Dominant grade: B — still desirable

Approximately 81% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Jacksonville. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031000102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031000102?

Census tract 12031000102 in the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.

What is the median rent in tract 12031000102?

Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031000102?

42.4% of residents in tract 12031000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,646.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031000102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 93th, minority 79th, housing 27th.

Is tract 12031000102 considered part of Tallulah-North Shore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031000102 fall within Tallulah-North Shore (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 12031000102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.

Was tract 12031000102 redlined?

The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is B (Still Desirable). Roughly 23% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Jacksonville. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.