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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,994 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.2–5.8

Arlington Heights is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Tampa with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,994 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 36% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,199/month sits 30% lower than the Tampa citywide average ($1,701).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Arlington Heights vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.2% +53%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,199 -30%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$45,444 -36%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
30.1% +89%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
56.7% +14%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–5.8

Why Arlington Heights scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
30.1% below poverty line · Range 3.0–10.0 across tracts
7.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Arlington Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arlington Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Arlington Heights: 5.15.1Arlington HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Arlington Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057003000 5.8 2,871 46% $968
12057002900 4.2 2,123 59% $1,512
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arlington Heights

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 962Total filings (sum)
  • 9.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak year (2000)
  • 6.63%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 196Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly observed
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.44×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Arlington Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arlington Heights?

Arlington Heights scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arlington Heights compare to Tampa overall?

Arlington Heights scores 2.4 points higher than Tampa overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,199 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arlington Heights?

Average gross rent in Arlington Heights is $1,199/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arlington Heights residents are renters?

57% of Arlington Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 4,994 residents.
Q5

Is Arlington Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Arlington Heights sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arlington Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arlington Heights is census tract 12057003000 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.8, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Arlington Heights for landlords?

Arlington Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arlington Heights?

Arlington Heights has 4,975 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (40.9%), Hispanic / Latino (31.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (25%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arlington Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arlington Heights.

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