Skip to content
Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,994 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.5–5.4

Arlington Heights is a 2-tract neighborhood of Tampa, FL, population 4,994. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5/10, Moderate tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Tampa rate of 33.5%.

36% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

At $1,199 a month, rents sit 30% under what the rest of Tampa commands. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.7/10.

Court records carry 962 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2000, when filings touched 20.0% of renter households. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

The most recent observed rate, 6.8% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 70 mapped neighborhoods of Tampa, it ranks #23 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Davis Islands and Southeast Seminole Heights score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.9 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $45,444.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Arlington Heights vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.2% +53%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,199 -30%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$45,444 -36%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
30.1% +89%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
56.7% +14%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–5.4

Why Arlington Heights scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
30.1% below poverty line · Range 3.0–10.0 across tracts
7.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Arlington Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arlington Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.0Arlington HeightsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Arlington Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057003000 5.4 2,871 46% $968
12057002900 4.5 2,123 59% $1,512
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arlington Heights

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 962Total filings (sum)
  • 9.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak year (2000)
  • 6.63%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 196Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly observed
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.44×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Arlington Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arlington Heights?

Arlington Heights scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arlington Heights compare to Tampa overall?

Arlington Heights scores 1.0 points higher than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,199 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arlington Heights?

Average gross rent in Arlington Heights is $1,199/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arlington Heights residents are renters?

57% of Arlington Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 4,994 residents.
Q5

Is Arlington Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Arlington Heights sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arlington Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arlington Heights is census tract 12057003000 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 5.4, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Arlington Heights for landlords?

Arlington Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arlington Heights?

Arlington Heights has 4,975 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (40.9%), Hispanic / Latino (31.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (25%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arlington Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arlington Heights.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further