Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057003000 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,871 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12057003000 covers part of the Arlington Heights area of Tampa, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,871 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,095
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate43.4%
Median income$37,582
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9734, -82.4535 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington Heights scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$968 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Arlington Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 85%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 613Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2000)
- 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 35% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 137Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington Heights
Average gross rent is $968, 43% below the Tampa average. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 22.6% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The filing record is not thin: 613 evictions over 11 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2000 at 9.9% of renter households.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057003000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003000?
Census tract 12057003000 in the Arlington Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057003000?
Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003000?
43.4% of residents in tract 12057003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,871.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 81th, minority 84th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12057003000 considered part of Arlington Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057003000 fall within Arlington Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 613 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.21% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057003000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057003000 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057003000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057003000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Fiorito
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Miranda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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