Macfarlane Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057004500 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,034 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
12057004500 is a census tract in the Macfarlane Park area of Tampa, FL. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,034 residents. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9616, -82.4932 · click any tract to drill in
Why Macfarlane Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Macfarlane Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 276Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2016)
- 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 78Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Macfarlane Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Macfarlane Park
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.9% against 11.3% nationally.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. At $1,410 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Tampa commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 276 filings here across 11 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tampa. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 4.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12057004500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004500?
What is the average rent in tract 12057004500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004500?
Is tract 12057004500 considered part of Macfarlane Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057004500?
Did eviction filings in tract 12057004500 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12057004500 compare to Tampa overall?
Was tract 12057004500 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.