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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Macfarlane Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,806 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.3–4.5

Macfarlane Park spans 2 census tracts of Tampa, FL and houses 6,806 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 47% against 33.5% citywide, putting Macfarlane Park 13.1% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. At $1,341 a month, rents sit 21% under what the rest of Tampa commands. The filing record is not thin: 276 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 7.9% of renter households. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Among the 70 mapped neighborhoods of Tampa, it ranks #37 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 2.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Paradise and Armenia Heights score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $61,780.

With little internal variation, 4.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Macfarlane Park vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +39%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,341 -21%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$61,780 -13%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
12.1% -24%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
33.6% -32%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Macfarlane Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.3–4.5

Why Macfarlane Park scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
12.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–3.4 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–2.1 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Macfarlane Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Macfarlane Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4Macfarlane ParkNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Macfarlane Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057002702 4.5 2,772 30% $1,241
12057004500 4.3 4,034 58% $1,410
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Macfarlane Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 276Total filings (sum)
  • 4.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.90%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 118Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly observed
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.56×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Macfarlane Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Macfarlane Park?

Macfarlane Park scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Macfarlane Park compare to Tampa overall?

Macfarlane Park scores 0.4 points higher than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,341 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Macfarlane Park?

Average gross rent in Macfarlane Park is $1,341/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Macfarlane Park residents are renters?

34% of Macfarlane Park households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 6,806 residents.
Q5

Is Macfarlane Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Macfarlane Park sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Macfarlane Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Macfarlane Park is census tract 12057002702 (score 4.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 4.5, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Macfarlane Park for landlords?

Macfarlane Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Macfarlane Park?

Macfarlane Park has 6,848 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (67.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Macfarlane Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Macfarlane Park.

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