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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Macfarlane Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,806 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4–4.2

Macfarlane Park is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Tampa with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,806 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,341/month sits 21% lower than the Tampa citywide average ($1,701).

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Macfarlane Park vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +39%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,341 -21%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$61,780 -13%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
12.1% -24%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
33.6% -32%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Macfarlane Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4–4.2

Why Macfarlane Park scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
12.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–3.4 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–2.1 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Macfarlane Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Macfarlane Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Macfarlane Park: 4.14.1Macfarlane ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Macfarlane Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057002702 4.2 2,772 30% $1,241
12057004500 4 4,034 58% $1,410
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Macfarlane Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 276Total filings (sum)
  • 4.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.90%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 118Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly observed
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.56×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Macfarlane Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Macfarlane Park?

Macfarlane Park scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Macfarlane Park compare to Tampa overall?

Macfarlane Park scores 1.4 points higher than Tampa overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,341 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Macfarlane Park?

Average gross rent in Macfarlane Park is $1,341/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Macfarlane Park residents are renters?

34% of Macfarlane Park households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 6,806 residents.
Q5

Is Macfarlane Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Macfarlane Park sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Macfarlane Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Macfarlane Park is census tract 12057002702 (score 4.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Macfarlane Park for landlords?

Macfarlane Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Macfarlane Park?

Macfarlane Park has 6,848 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (67.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Macfarlane Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Macfarlane Park.

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