Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Paradise Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057004602 ·
Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,873 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12057004602 (the Paradise area of Tampa, Florida) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,998 monthly, set against $70,768 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%Stable renters 31%Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,073
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$70,768
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Paradise
Moderate
Within parent city
49th percentile
#54 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Moderate
Within county
64th percentile
#120 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
70th percentile
#1,537 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9545, -82.5339 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paradise scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,998 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Paradise compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
58%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
112Total filings 2020-21
1.5Avg monthly (observed)
1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.20×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paradise
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.20x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057004602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004602?
Census tract 12057004602 in the Paradise neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057004602?
Median gross rent is $1,998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004602?
14.4% of residents in tract 12057004602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,873.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 16th, minority 81th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 12057004602 considered part of Paradise?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057004602 fall within Paradise (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057004602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057004602 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057004602 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.