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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Paradise Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057004602 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,873 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 12057004602 sits in the Paradise area of Tampa eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. Population here is 1,873. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 31% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,073
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$70,768

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Paradise
Moderate
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,779 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9545, -82.5339 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paradise scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,998 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Paradise compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paradise risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0046024.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 112Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paradise

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $70,768 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

At $1,998 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Tampa commands. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057004602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004602?

Census tract 12057004602 in the Paradise neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057004602?

Median gross rent is $1,998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004602?

14.4% of residents in tract 12057004602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,873.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 16th, minority 81th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 12057004602 considered part of Paradise?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057004602 fall within Paradise (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057004602 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057004602 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057004602 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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