Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Palma Ceia Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa
Tract 12057005700 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,281 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 12057005700 sits in the Palma Ceia Pines neighborhood of Tampa eviction risk, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It lands near the 26th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,616 a month while the average household earns $102,083 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,283
Renter share47.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$102,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9409, -82.4958 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palma Ceia Pines scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,616 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Palma Ceia Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 54%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 415Total filings over 11 yrs
- 2.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2005)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palma Ceia Pines
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.87x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057005700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057005700?
Census tract 12057005700 in the Palma Ceia Pines neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057005700?
Median gross rent is $1,616/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057005700?
15.5% of residents in tract 12057005700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,281.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057005700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 86th, minority 46th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 12057005700 considered part of Palma Ceia Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057005700 fall within Palma Ceia Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057005700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057005700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.80% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057005700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057005700 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057005700 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057005700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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