Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Douglas Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Lutz
Tract 12057011103 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,757 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 12057011103 runs through the Douglas Place area of Lutz. With 3,757 residents, it scores 4.3/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 19% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,618 monthly, set against $120,993 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,329
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$120,993
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lutz and the region
Centroid at 28.1463, -82.4823 · click any tract to drill in
Why Douglas Place scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lutz
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,618 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lutz
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lutz
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lutz
5.2
How Douglas Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 62Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2015)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 79Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Douglas Place
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lutz, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.65x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011103?
Census tract 12057011103 in the Douglas Place neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011103?
Median gross rent is $1,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011103?
4.7% of residents in tract 12057011103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,757.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 55th, minority 37th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011103 considered part of Douglas Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011103 fall within Douglas Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.13% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011103 compare to Lutz overall?
Tract 12057011103 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lutz at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lutz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lutz
Top eight tracts in Lutz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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