Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Tarpon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Citrus Park
Tract 12057011414 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 8,386 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
12057011414 is a census tract in the Tarpon area of Citrus Park, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units3,320
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$64,441
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Citrus Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0539, -82.5592 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tarpon scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Citrus Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Citrus Park
6.7
How Tarpon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 386Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2016)
- 77Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 413% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 314Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tarpon
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 386 evictions over 11 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.0% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,706 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Citrus Park commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011414
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011414?
Census tract 12057011414 in the Tarpon neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011414?
Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011414?
16.3% of residents in tract 12057011414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011414?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 82th, minority 78th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011414 considered part of Tarpon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011414 fall within Tarpon (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011414?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 386 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011414 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011414 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011414 compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tract 12057011414 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Citrus Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Citrus Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Citrus Park
Top eight tracts in Citrus Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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