Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Tarpon Eviction Risk: Lower , Citrus Park
Tract 12057011414 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 8,386 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 12057011414 belongs to the Tarpon neighborhood of Citrus Park, Florida. It is home to 8,386 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,706 a month against an average household income of $64,441 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units3,320
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$64,441
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Citrus Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0539, -82.5592 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tarpon scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Citrus Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Citrus Park
6.7
How Tarpon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 386Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2016)
- 77Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 413% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 314Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tarpon
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Citrus Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 386 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.2% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011414
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011414?
Census tract 12057011414 in the Tarpon neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011414?
Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011414?
16.3% of residents in tract 12057011414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011414?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 82th, minority 78th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011414 considered part of Tarpon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011414 fall within Tarpon (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011414?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 386 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011414 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011414 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011414 compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tract 12057011414 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Citrus Park at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Citrus Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Citrus Park
Top eight tracts in Citrus Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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