1 census tracts · pop 8,386 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.8–4.8
Tarpon maps to a single census tract in Citrus Park, FL and houses 8,386 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Citrus Park baseline of 36.1%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.4/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 386 evictions logged in this tract.
The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.2% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $1,706, 10% below the Citrus Park average of $1,891. That places it #1 of 5 neighborhoods in Citrus Park. Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a like-for-like read, Rose Harbor and Manhattan Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $64,441.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Tarpon vs Citrus ParkHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Tarpon
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
386Total filings (sum)
5.24%Avg annual filing rate
5.2%Peak year (2016)
5.20%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
314Total filings 2020-21
4.3Avg monthly observed
4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Tarpon
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tarpon?
Tarpon scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tarpon compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tarpon scores 0.8 points higher than Citrus Park overall (4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,706 vs $1,891.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tarpon?
Average gross rent in Tarpon is $1,706/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tarpon residents are renters?
41% of Tarpon households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Citrus Park). The neighborhood has 8,386 residents.
Q5
Is Tarpon a high social-vulnerability area?
Tarpon sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Tarpon for landlords?
Tarpon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Citrus Park as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Tarpon?
Tarpon has 8,351 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
