Neighborhood · Citrus Park, FL

Tarpon Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 8,386 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Tarpon is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Citrus Park with 1 census tract and a population of 8,386 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,706/month sits 10% lower than the Citrus Park citywide average ($1,891).

Risk score

3.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Tarpon vs Citrus Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.4% +62%

Citrus Park: 36.1%

Average gross rent

$1,706 -10%

Citrus Park: $1,891

Average HH income

$64,441 -23%

Citrus Park: $84,220

Poverty rate

16.3% +43%

Citrus Park: 11.4%

Renter share

40.6% +21%

Citrus Park: 33.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tarpon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Tarpon scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts

1.4

Tenant organizing strength

41% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Economic stress

16.3% below poverty line · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Tarpon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Tarpon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057011414	3.8	8,386	58%	$1,706

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 82%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tarpon

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

386Total filings (sum)
5.24%Avg annual filing rate
5.2%Peak year (2016)
5.20%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

314Total filings 2020-21
4.3Avg monthly observed
4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.03×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Tarpon

What is the eviction-risk score for Tarpon?

Tarpon scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Tarpon compare to Citrus Park overall?

Tarpon scores 1.6 points higher than Citrus Park overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,706 vs $1,891.

What is the average rent in Tarpon?

Average gross rent in Tarpon is $1,706/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Tarpon residents are renters?

41% of Tarpon households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Citrus Park). The neighborhood has 8,386 residents.

Is Tarpon a high social-vulnerability area?

Tarpon sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Tarpon for landlords?

Tarpon carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Citrus Park as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Tarpon?

Tarpon has 8,351 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tarpon

2.4 Carrollwood Village 4 tracts · pop 15,279 4.7 Ansley Park 3 tracts · pop 9,356 2.4 Arlington 4 tracts · pop 12,496 4 Armenia Heights 5 tracts · pop 21,968 3.5 Palm Bay 2 tracts · pop 5,434 3.1 Bay Crest Park 2 tracts · pop 7,595

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Citrus Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tarpon.

3.5 Rose Harbor 1 tracts · pop 3,184 2.9 Manhattan Park 1 tracts · pop 5,714 2.4 Arbor Ridge 1 tracts · pop 5,935 2.1 Copeland Creek 1 tracts · pop 6,570

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