Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Heritage Harbor Eviction Risk: Lower , Lutz
Tract 12057011510 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,810 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up Heritage Harbor in Lutz, census tract 12057011510 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,583 a month while the average household earns $182,250 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,742
Renter share7.7%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$182,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lutz and the region
Centroid at 28.1657, -82.4978 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heritage Harbor scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lutz
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,583 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lutz
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lutz
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lutz
5.2
How Heritage Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 9 yrs
- 6.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2016)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heritage Harbor
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lutz, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.57x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 6.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.8% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011510
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011510?
Census tract 12057011510 in the Heritage Harbor neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011510?
Median gross rent is $2,583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011510?
3.2% of residents in tract 12057011510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,810.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011510?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 30th, minority 61th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011510 considered part of Heritage Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011510 fall within Heritage Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011510?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12057011510 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.16% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011510 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011510 compare to Lutz overall?
Tract 12057011510 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lutz at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lutz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lutz
Top eight tracts in Lutz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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