Neighborhood · Lutz, FL

Heritage Harbor Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,810 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.2/10 · range 1.2–1.2

Heritage Harbor is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lutz with 1 census tract and a population of 5,810 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,583/month sits 42% higher than the Lutz citywide average ($1,823).

Risk score

1.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Heritage Harbor vs Lutz How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.0% +31%

Lutz: 35.9%

Average gross rent

$2,583 +42%

Lutz: $1,823

Average HH income

$182,250 +59%

Lutz: $114,516

Poverty rate

3.2% -42%

Lutz: 5.5%

Renter share

7.7% -64%

Lutz: 21.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heritage Harbor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.2–1.2

Why Heritage Harbor scores 1.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Economic stress

3.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Risk score comparison

Heritage Harbor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Heritage Harbor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057011510	1.2	5,810	47%	$2,583

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 16%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Heritage Harbor

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

26Total filings (sum)
6.16%Avg annual filing rate
7.8%Peak year (2016)
7.84%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

17Total filings 2020-21
0.2Avg monthly observed
0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.57×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Heritage Harbor

What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage Harbor?

Heritage Harbor scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Heritage Harbor compare to Lutz overall?

Heritage Harbor scores 0.9 points lower than Lutz overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,583 vs $1,823.

What is the average rent in Heritage Harbor?

Average gross rent in Heritage Harbor is $2,583/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Heritage Harbor residents are renters?

8% of Heritage Harbor households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Lutz). The neighborhood has 5,810 residents.

Is Heritage Harbor a high social-vulnerability area?

Heritage Harbor sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Heritage Harbor for landlords?

Heritage Harbor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lutz as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage Harbor?

Heritage Harbor has 5,820 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.8%), Hispanic / Latino (22.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heritage Harbor

2.3 Reflections 2 tracts · pop 6,963 2.6 All Bright Shores 3 tracts · pop 11,434 2.4 Arlington 4 tracts · pop 12,496 2.4 Carrollwood Village 4 tracts · pop 15,279 2.9 Angelina Pines 2 tracts · pop 9,058 5.2 Nowatney 6 tracts · pop 18,824

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lutz

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heritage Harbor.

1.6 Douglas Place 1 tracts · pop 3,757 1.7 Deer Park 1 tracts · pop 2,789

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