Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Armenia Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057011905 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,994 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 12057011905 in the Armenia Terrace area of Tampa, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,994. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 20% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units537

Renter share59.4%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate17.0%

Median income$51,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0034, -82.4865 · click any tract to drill in

Why Armenia Terrace scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tampa

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

17.0% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,245 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tampa

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tampa

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tampa

3.5

How Armenia Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

135Total filings over 11 yrs
2.79%Avg annual filing rate
7.4%Peak (2016)
25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2000 to 2016

Filings climbed 213% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

132Total filings 2020-21
1.8Avg monthly (observed)
1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
1.04×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Armenia Terrace

66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $1,245 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Tampa commands.

The filing record is not thin: 135 evictions over 11 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011905

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011905?

Census tract 12057011905 in the Armenia Terrace neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12057011905?

Median gross rent is $1,245/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011905?

17.0% of residents in tract 12057011905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,994.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011905?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 71th, minority 91th, housing 87th.

Is tract 12057011905 considered part of Armenia Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011905 fall within Armenia Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011905?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.79% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011905 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.

How does tract 12057011905 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057011905 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org