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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Armenia Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057011905 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,994 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12057011905 in the Armenia Terrace neighborhood of Tampa ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,994 residents. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,245 monthly, set against $51,969 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 20% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units537
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$51,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Armenia Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#989 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0034, -82.4865 · click any tract to drill in

Why Armenia Terrace scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,245 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Armenia Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Armenia Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 011905Tampa: 2.72.7Tampaparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 135Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2016)
  • 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570119052000: 8 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2001: 10 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (0.67/100 renter HHs)2003: 11 filings (1.24/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2009: 16 filings (1.80/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (4.47/100 renter HHs)2015: 19 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)2016: 25 filings (7.40/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 213% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 132Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-03-01: 9 filings (12.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-07-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 7 filings (7.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Armenia Terrace

What moves this score most is economic stress at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.04x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011905

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011905?

Census tract 12057011905 in the Armenia Terrace neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011905?

Median gross rent is $1,245/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011905?

17.0% of residents in tract 12057011905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,994.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011905?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 71th, minority 91th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011905 considered part of Armenia Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011905 fall within Armenia Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011905?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.79% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011905 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011905 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057011905 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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