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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Abbey Trace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon

Tract 12057012207 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 7,931 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

12057012207 is a census tract in the Abbey Trace area of Brandon, FL. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,931 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 8% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,899
Renter share17.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$84,097

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Abbey Trace
Very High
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 23 tracts In Brandon
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#167 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,028 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon and the region

Centroid at 27.9748, -82.2717 · click any tract to drill in

Why Abbey Trace scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,333 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6

How Abbey Trace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Abbey Trace risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0122074.3Brandonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 191Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2011)
  • 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057012207
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 130Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Abbey Trace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Abbey Trace

At $2,333 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Brandon commands. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $84,097, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 18.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 191 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 11.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057012207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012207?

Census tract 12057012207 in the Abbey Trace neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057012207?

Median gross rent is $2,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012207?

12.9% of residents in tract 12057012207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,931.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 73th, minority 68th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 12057012207 considered part of Abbey Trace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012207 fall within Abbey Trace (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012207?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 191 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.37% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057012207 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057012207 compare to Brandon overall?

Tract 12057012207 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brandon

Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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