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Neighborhood · Brandon, FL

Abbey Trace Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 13,939 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3–4.2

Abbey Trace spans 2 census tracts of Brandon, FL and houses 13,939 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.7/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 48% against 33.4% citywide, putting Abbey Trace 14.9% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $2,243 a month, rents sit 26% over what the rest of Brandon commands. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.2. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Court records carry 302 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.5/10.

The voucher gap is 13.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 21.1% of renter households. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Brandon, it ranks #10 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 3.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Abbey Trace vs Brandon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +45%
Brandon: 33.4%
Average gross rent
$2,243 +26%
Brandon: $1,784
Average HH income
$99,303 +29%
Brandon: $77,068
Poverty rate
10.0% -17%
Brandon: 12.0%
Renter share
12.5% -71%
Brandon: 43.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Abbey Trace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.2

Why Abbey Trace scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 1.6–3.2 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.7–6.8 across tracts
6.3
Risk score comparison

Abbey Trace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Abbey Trace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Abbey TraceNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Abbey Trace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057012207 4.2 7,931 55% $2,333
12057012208 3 6,008 39% $2,125
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 20%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Abbey Trace

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 302Total filings (sum)
  • 7.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.1%Peak year (2016)
  • 11.36%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 234Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.15×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Abbey Trace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Abbey Trace?

Abbey Trace scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Abbey Trace compare to Brandon overall?

Abbey Trace scores 0.6 points lower than Brandon overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,243 vs $1,784.
Q3

What is the average rent in Abbey Trace?

Average gross rent in Abbey Trace is $2,243/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Abbey Trace residents are renters?

13% of Abbey Trace households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 13,939 residents.
Q5

Is Abbey Trace a high social-vulnerability area?

Abbey Trace sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Abbey Trace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Abbey Trace is census tract 12057012207 (score 4.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.2, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Abbey Trace for landlords?

Abbey Trace carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Abbey Trace?

Abbey Trace has 13,714 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.8%), Hispanic / Latino (29.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Abbey Trace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Abbey Trace.

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