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Neighborhood · Brandon, FL

Abbey Trace Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 13,939 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.2–3.4

Abbey Trace is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Brandon with 2 census tracts and a population of 13,939 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,243/month sits 26% higher than the Brandon citywide average ($1,784).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Abbey Trace vs Brandon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +45%
Brandon: 33.4%
Average gross rent
$2,243 +26%
Brandon: $1,784
Average HH income
$99,303 +29%
Brandon: $77,068
Poverty rate
10.0% -17%
Brandon: 12.0%
Renter share
12.5% -71%
Brandon: 43.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Abbey Trace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.2–3.4

Why Abbey Trace scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 1.6–3.2 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.7–6.8 across tracts
6.3
Risk score comparison

Abbey Trace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Abbey Trace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Abbey Trace: 2.92.9Abbey TraceNeighborhoodParent city: 2.42.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Abbey Trace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057012207 3.4 7,931 55% $2,333
12057012208 2.2 6,008 39% $2,125
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 20%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Abbey Trace

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 302Total filings (sum)
  • 7.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.1%Peak year (2016)
  • 11.36%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 234Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.15×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Abbey Trace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Abbey Trace?

Abbey Trace scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Abbey Trace compare to Brandon overall?

Abbey Trace scores 0.5 points higher than Brandon overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,243 vs $1,784.
Q3

What is the average rent in Abbey Trace?

Average gross rent in Abbey Trace is $2,243/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Abbey Trace residents are renters?

13% of Abbey Trace households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 13,939 residents.
Q5

Is Abbey Trace a high social-vulnerability area?

Abbey Trace sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Abbey Trace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Abbey Trace is census tract 12057012207 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.2 to 3.4, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Abbey Trace for landlords?

Abbey Trace carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Abbey Trace?

Abbey Trace has 13,714 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.8%), Hispanic / Latino (29.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Abbey Trace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Abbey Trace.

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