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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

The District Eviction Risk: Lower , Brandon

Tract 12057013314 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,376 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12057013314 covers part of the The District area of Brandon, FL, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,376. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 21% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,078
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$83,359

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In The District
Very High
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 23 tracts In Brandon
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#199 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon and the region

Centroid at 27.8992, -82.2817 · click any tract to drill in

Why The District scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6

How The District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The District risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0133144.3Brandonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 142Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2009)
  • 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013314
Filings climbed 117% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 50Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The District

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. At $1,401 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Brandon commands.

The filing record is not thin: 142 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2009 at 15.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013314

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013314?

Census tract 12057013314 in the The District neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013314?

Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013314?

8.8% of residents in tract 12057013314 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,376.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013314?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 89th, minority 67th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013314 considered part of The District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013314 fall within The District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013314?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 142 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013314 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.10% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013314 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013314 compare to Brandon overall?

Tract 12057013314 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brandon

Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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