2 census tracts · pop 8,300 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10
· range 3–3.8
The District is a 2-tract neighborhood of Brandon, FL and houses 8,300 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Cost burden runs 44% against 33.4% citywide, putting The District 10.3% over its own city. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.5/10.
Filings are well documented here: 171 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 15.8% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 5.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $1,658 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Brandon commands. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Brandon, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third.
At 10% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Abbey Trace and Winthrop score within a fraction of it.
Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 3.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
The District vs BrandonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in The District
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
171Total filings (sum)
5.30%Avg annual filing rate
15.8%Peak year (2011)
5.07%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
85Total filings 2020-21
0.6Avg monthly observed
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About The District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The District?
The District scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The District compare to Brandon overall?
The District scores 1.0 points lower than Brandon overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,658 vs $1,784.
Q3
What is the average rent in The District?
Average gross rent in The District is $1,658/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The District residents are renters?
10% of The District households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 8,300 residents.
Q5
Is The District a high social-vulnerability area?
The District sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in The District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in The District is census tract 12057013314 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.8, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is The District for landlords?
The District carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of The District?
The District has 8,770 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61%), Hispanic / Latino (24.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
