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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Mariposa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon

Tract 12057013320 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,836 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 12057013320 in the Mariposa area of Brandon, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,836 residents. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 19% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,823
Renter share53.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$66,549

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mariposa
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 23 tracts In Brandon
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#964 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon and the region

Centroid at 27.9021, -82.3255 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mariposa scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6

How Mariposa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mariposa risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0133204.3Brandonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 4.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2009)
  • 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013320
Filings climbed 57% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 594Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.80×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mariposa

65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 417 eviction filings across 11 observed years. It sits 0.9 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 3.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,679, close to the Brandon average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $66,549.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013320

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013320?

Census tract 12057013320 in the Mariposa neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013320?

Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013320?

17.2% of residents in tract 12057013320 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,836.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013320?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 93th, minority 70th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013320 considered part of Mariposa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013320 fall within Mariposa (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013320?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 417 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013320 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.16% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013320 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013320 compare to Brandon overall?

Tract 12057013320 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brandon

Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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