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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Mariposa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon

Tract 12057013320 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,836 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 12057013320 in the Mariposa neighborhood of Brandon ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,836 residents. That is riskier than about 69% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,679 a month while the average household earns $66,549 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 19% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,823
Renter share53.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$66,549

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mariposa
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 23 tracts In Brandon
Very High
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,537 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon and the region

Centroid at 27.9021, -82.3255 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mariposa scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6

How Mariposa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mariposa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 013320Brandon: 2.42.4Brandonparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 4.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2009)
  • 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570133202000: 23 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2001: 28 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 24 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)2003: 34 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 42 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2005: 41 filings (2.39/100 renter HHs)2009: 60 filings (3.50/100 renter HHs)2010: 53 filings (4.82/100 renter HHs)2011: 30 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (4.72/100 renter HHs)2016: 36 filings (3.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 57% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 594Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.80×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2020-03-01: 13 filings (4.73× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2020-10-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2020-12-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2021-01-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-06-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (0.95× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-11-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2021-12-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-02-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-03-01: 11 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 13 filings (2.89× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-06-01: 9 filings (2.57× baseline)2022-07-01: 20 filings (3.81× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-09-01: 22 filings (3.03× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2022-12-01: 15 filings (2.73× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-02-01: 12 filings (2.82× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (2.55× baseline)2023-04-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2023-06-01: 18 filings (5.14× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.38× baseline)2023-08-01: 16 filings (3.56× baseline)2023-09-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2023-10-01: 14 filings (2.80× baseline)2023-11-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2023-12-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2024-01-01: 15 filings (4.62× baseline)2024-02-01: 20 filings (4.71× baseline)2024-03-01: 18 filings (6.55× baseline)2024-04-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-05-01: 14 filings (2.80× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-07-01: 18 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-08-01: 14 filings (3.11× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (1.24× baseline)2024-10-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-12-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2025-02-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-04-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 16 filings (3.05× baseline)2025-08-01: 13 filings (2.89× baseline)2025-09-01: 10 filings (1.38× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mariposa

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brandon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 417 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 4.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2009.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013320

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013320?

Census tract 12057013320 in the Mariposa neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013320?

Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013320?

17.2% of residents in tract 12057013320 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,836.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013320?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 93th, minority 70th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013320 considered part of Mariposa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013320 fall within Mariposa (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013320?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 417 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013320 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.16% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013320 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013320 compare to Brandon overall?

Tract 12057013320 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brandon

Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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