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Neighborhood · Brandon, FL

Mariposa Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,836 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Mariposa is a one-tract neighborhood of Brandon, FL, population 4,836. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 65% against 33.4% citywide, putting Mariposa 31.6% over its own city.

36% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Court records for this tract carry 417 eviction filings. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 3.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 3.2% in 2016 against a 3.5% peak. That places it #3 of 11 neighborhoods in Brandon.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Ventura Bay and Limona. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,679, close to the Brandon average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mariposa vs Brandon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.0% +95%
Brandon: 33.4%
Average gross rent
$1,679 -6%
Brandon: $1,784
Average HH income
$66,549 -14%
Brandon: $77,068
Poverty rate
17.2% +43%
Brandon: 12.0%
Renter share
53.6% +22%
Brandon: 43.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mariposa and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Mariposa scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
17.2% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Mariposa vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mariposa score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1MariposaNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Mariposa

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057013320 5.1 4,836 65% $1,679
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mariposa

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings (sum)
  • 4.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak year (2009)
  • 3.15%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 594Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.1Avg monthly observed
  • 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.80×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Mariposa

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mariposa?

Mariposa scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mariposa compare to Brandon overall?

Mariposa scores 0.8 points higher than Brandon overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,679 vs $1,784.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mariposa?

Average gross rent in Mariposa is $1,679/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mariposa residents are renters?

54% of Mariposa households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 4,836 residents.
Q5

Is Mariposa a high social-vulnerability area?

Mariposa sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Mariposa for landlords?

Mariposa carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Mariposa?

Mariposa has 4,900 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39%), Hispanic / Latino (28.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mariposa

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mariposa.

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