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Neighborhood · Brandon, FL

Mariposa Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,836 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Mariposa is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Brandon with 1 census tract and a population of 4,836 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 36% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,679/month sits 6% lower than the Brandon citywide average ($1,784).

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mariposa vs Brandon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.0% +95%
Brandon: 33.4%
Average gross rent
$1,679 -6%
Brandon: $1,784
Average HH income
$66,549 -14%
Brandon: $77,068
Poverty rate
17.2% +43%
Brandon: 12.0%
Renter share
53.6% +22%
Brandon: 43.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mariposa and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Mariposa scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
17.2% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Mariposa vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mariposa score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mariposa: 4.14.1MariposaNeighborhoodParent city: 2.42.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Mariposa

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057013320 4.1 4,836 65% $1,679
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mariposa

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings (sum)
  • 4.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak year (2009)
  • 3.15%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 594Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.1Avg monthly observed
  • 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.80×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Mariposa

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mariposa?

Mariposa scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mariposa compare to Brandon overall?

Mariposa scores 1.7 points higher than Brandon overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,679 vs $1,784.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mariposa?

Average gross rent in Mariposa is $1,679/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mariposa residents are renters?

54% of Mariposa households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 4,836 residents.
Q5

Is Mariposa a high social-vulnerability area?

Mariposa sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Mariposa for landlords?

Mariposa carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Mariposa?

Mariposa has 4,900 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39%), Hispanic / Latino (28.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mariposa

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mariposa.

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