Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Grandezza Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero
Tract 12071040118 · Lee, FL · pop 2,290 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 12071040118 covers part of the Grandezza area of Estero, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,290. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$103,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Estero and the region
Centroid at 26.4437, -81.7679 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grandezza scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Estero
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,895 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Estero
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Estero
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Estero
4.9
How Grandezza compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grandezza
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Cost burden runs about half here against 52.2% across Lee County. It sits 0.7 points below the Lee County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,895, close to the Estero average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $103,750. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071040118
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071040118?
Census tract 12071040118 in the Grandezza neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071040118?
Median gross rent is $1,895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071040118?
6.2% of residents in tract 12071040118 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,290.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071040118?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 10th, minority 31th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 12071040118 considered part of Grandezza?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071040118 fall within Grandezza (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071040118 compare to Estero overall?
Tract 12071040118 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Estero at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Estero
Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12071050104
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Osprey Cove
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Villages at Country Creek
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Cypress Bend RV Resort
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Colonial Oaks
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Stoneybrook
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Corkscrew Woodlands
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
The Lakes of Estero
3
/ 10 · Low
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