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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

The Lakes of Estero Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12071050316 · Lee, FL · pop 2,358 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12071050316 covers part of the The Lakes of Estero area of Estero, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,358. Cost burden runs 35% here against 52.2% across Lee County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 7% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,534
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$113,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Lakes of Estero
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 12 tracts In Estero
High
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#159 of 222 tracts In Lee
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4087, -81.7998 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Lakes of Estero scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Estero
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,188 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Estero
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Estero
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Estero
4.9

How The Lakes of Estero compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Lakes of Estero risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 050316Estero: 3.43.4Esteroparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Lakes of Estero

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 18.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,188 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Estero commands. It sits 0.7 points below the Lee County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050316

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050316?

Census tract 12071050316 in the The Lakes of Estero neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071050316?

Median gross rent is $2,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050316?

4.7% of residents in tract 12071050316 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,358.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050316?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 4th, minority 2th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 12071050316 considered part of The Lakes of Estero?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050316 fall within The Lakes of Estero (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071050316 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071050316 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Estero at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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