Within neighborhood
29
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Casa Loma Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bayshore Gardens
Tract 12081000313 · Manatee, FL · pop 1,018 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12081000313 (the Casa Loma area of Bayshore Gardens, Florida) comes in at 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 26th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,241 a month against an average household income of $36,793 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units566
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$36,793
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region
Centroid at 27.4343, -82.5622 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casa Loma scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
5.0
How Casa Loma compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Casa Loma. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casa Loma
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bayshore Gardens, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Manatee County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12081000313
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000313?
Census tract 12081000313 in the Casa Loma neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12081000313?
Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000313?
17.9% of residents in tract 12081000313 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,018.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000313?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 92th, minority 32th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 12081000313 considered part of Casa Loma?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000313 fall within Casa Loma (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12081000313 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?
Tract 12081000313 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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