Within neighborhood
44
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Overtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami
Tract 12086005202 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 6,476 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 12086005202 in the Overtown area of Miami ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,476 residents. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,346 a month while the average household earns $37,423 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. About 96% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units2,133
Renter share96.5%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$37,423
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7770, -80.2105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Overtown scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Overtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 72%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 175Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2015)
- 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 435Total filings 2020-21
- 6.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Overtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Overtown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Miami eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.53x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086005202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005202?
Census tract 12086005202 in the Overtown neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086005202?
Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005202?
18.0% of residents in tract 12086005202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,476.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 79th, minority 94th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 12086005202 considered part of Overtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005202 fall within Overtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086005202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086005202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086005202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086005202 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086005202 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086005202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Related