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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Overtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami

Tract 12086005202 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 6,476 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 12086005202 sits in the Overtown area of Miami eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It is home to 6,476 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 45.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 34% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units2,133
Renter share96.5%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$37,423

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 10 tracts In Overtown
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#49 of 132 tracts In Miami
Elevated
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#125 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7770, -80.2105 · click any tract to drill in

Why Overtown scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Overtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Overtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 005202Miami: 4.64.6Miamiparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 175Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 5.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak (2015)
  • 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 435Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.35× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.26× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.30× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 8 filings (2.83× baseline)2021-04-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.95× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (2.25× baseline)2021-08-01: 7 filings (1.83× baseline)2021-09-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-11-01: 11 filings (2.44× baseline)2021-12-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-01-01: 12 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 14 filings (4.42× baseline)2022-03-01: 13 filings (4.59× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (2.52× baseline)2022-06-01: 11 filings (2.36× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2022-08-01: 6 filings (1.57× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-11-01: 13 filings (2.89× baseline)2022-12-01: 11 filings (3.14× baseline)2023-01-01: 12 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.58× baseline)2023-03-01: 6 filings (2.12× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-05-01: 10 filings (3.15× baseline)2023-06-01: 11 filings (2.36× baseline)2023-07-01: 10 filings (3.75× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.04× baseline)2023-09-01: 12 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (0.90× baseline)2023-11-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-01-01: 9 filings (2.25× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (1.58× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (1.41× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-05-01: 10 filings (3.15× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-07-01: 10 filings (3.75× baseline)2024-08-01: 7 filings (1.83× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-11-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-02-01: 7 filings (2.21× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (2.83× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (0.95× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2025-08-01: 9 filings (2.35× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (0.90× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Overtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Overtown

Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $37,423, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,346 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Miami commands.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 175 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 6.7% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086005202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005202?

Census tract 12086005202 in the Overtown neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086005202?

Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005202?

18.0% of residents in tract 12086005202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,476.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 79th, minority 94th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 12086005202 considered part of Overtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005202 fall within Overtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086005202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086005202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12086005202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12086005202 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086005202 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12086005202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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