Within neighborhood
56
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Overtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami
Tract 12086003100 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 5,896 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 12086003100 sits in the Overtown area of Miami eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 5,896. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share84.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate37.3%
Median income$41,968
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7924, -80.2015 · click any tract to drill in
Why Overtown scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.3% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$990 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Overtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 92%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 418Total filings over 2 yrs
- 15.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.5%Peak (2015)
- 161Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 575Total filings 2020-21
- 7.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Overtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Overtown
At $990 a month, rents run 44% under what the rest of Miami commands. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.3/10.
The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.6% against 11.3% nationally.
It sits 1.4 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. The filing record is not thin: 418 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 20.5% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003100?
Census tract 12086003100 in the Overtown neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003100?
Median gross rent is $990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003100?
37.3% of residents in tract 12086003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,896.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 89th, minority 97th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003100 considered part of Overtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003100 fall within Overtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 418 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.28% of renter households, peaking at 20.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086003100 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003100 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086003100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 92% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12086001704
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086005003
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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