10 census tracts · pop 40,401 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 3.2–6
Overtown is a 10-tract neighborhood of Miami, FL and houses 40,401 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 37.0% citywide, putting Overtown 22.7% over its own city.
31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Scores across the 10 constituent tracts range from 3.2 to 6. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.
The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,258 across 5 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 37.0% of renter households. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.
Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Miami, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 4.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,710, close to the Miami average.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
10 tracts · population-weighted
Overtown vs MiamiHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Overtown
Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,258Total filings (sum)
10.11%Avg annual filing rate
37.0%Peak year (2016)
6.81%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
4,686Total filings 2020-21
8.1Avg monthly observed
4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
2.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami).
Frequently asked
About Overtown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Overtown?
Overtown scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Overtown compare to Miami overall?
Overtown scores 0.6 points higher than Miami overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,710 vs $1,758.
Q3
What is the average rent in Overtown?
Average gross rent in Overtown is $1,710/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Overtown residents are renters?
84% of Overtown households are renter-occupied (vs 69% in Miami). The neighborhood has 40,401 residents.
Q5
Is Overtown a high social-vulnerability area?
Overtown sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Overtown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Overtown is census tract 12086003100 (score 6/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 6, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Overtown for landlords?
Overtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Miami as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Overtown?
Overtown has 40,461 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (60.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
