Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Doral Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12086009102 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,443 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 12086009102 sits in the Downtown Doral eviction risk area of Medley, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. It is home to 3,443 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 36.0% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,043
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$48,176
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Doral and the region
Centroid at 25.8139, -80.3144 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Doral scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Doral
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,582 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Doral
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Doral
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Doral
8.1
How Downtown Doral compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 54Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Doral. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Doral
Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $48,176, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. At $1,582 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Medley commands.
Cost burden runs 64% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely.
62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086009102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086009102?
Census tract 12086009102 in the Downtown Doral neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086009102?
Median gross rent is $1,582/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086009102?
17.7% of residents in tract 12086009102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,443.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086009102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 61th, minority 96th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 12086009102 considered part of Downtown Doral?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086009102 fall within Downtown Doral (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086009102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086009102 compare to Doral overall?
Tract 12086009102 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Doral at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Doral eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Doral
Top eight tracts in Doral ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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