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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Catalina Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando

Tract 12095014606 · Orange, FL · pop 8,127 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 12095014606 sits in the Catalina area of Orlando eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 8,127 residents. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 37% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units3,188
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$56,157

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Catalina
Very Low
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 77 tracts In Orlando
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orlando and the region

Centroid at 28.5025, -81.4317 · click any tract to drill in

Why Catalina scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0

How Catalina compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Catalina risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0146064.0Orlandoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,365Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 6.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak (2007)
  • 154Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095014606
Filings climbed 50% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Catalina. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Catalina

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.2% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Average gross rent is $1,447, 17% below the Orlando average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,365 filings here across 9 tracked years.

Against Orange County at 51.4%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. The worst year on record was 2007, when 9.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095014606

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095014606?

Census tract 12095014606 in the Catalina neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095014606?

Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095014606?

20.8% of residents in tract 12095014606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,127.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095014606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 48th, minority 88th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12095014606 considered part of Catalina?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095014606 fall within Catalina (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095014606?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,365 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095014606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.61% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095014606 compare to Orlando overall?

Tract 12095014606 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orlando

Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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