Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

The Willows Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pine Hills

Tract 12095012403 · Orange, FL · pop 7,408 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12095012403 in the The Willows area of Orlando, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,408. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 21% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,130
Renter share47.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$45,431

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In The Willows
Very Low
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 77 tracts In Pine Hills
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#52 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pine Hills and the region

Centroid at 28.5854, -81.4339 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Willows scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pine Hills
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,427 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pine Hills
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pine Hills
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pine Hills
4.0

How The Willows compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Willows risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0124034.4Pine Hillsparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,268Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 19.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak (2001)
  • 84Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095012403
Filings dropped 38% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Willows. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Willows

Set annual rent against average income of $45,431 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,427 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Orlando commands.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,268 filings here across 9 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2001, when 25.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 19.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095012403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095012403?

Census tract 12095012403 in the The Willows neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095012403?

Median gross rent is $1,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095012403?

22.7% of residents in tract 12095012403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,408.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095012403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12095012403 considered part of The Willows?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095012403 fall within The Willows (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095012403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,268 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095012403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.64% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095012403 compare to Pine Hills overall?

Tract 12095012403 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Pine Hills at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pine Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pine Hills

Top eight tracts in Pine Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related