Neighborhood · Orlando, FL

Catalina Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 13,851 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5–5.3

Catalina is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Orlando with 2 census tracts and a population of 13,851 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,283/month sits 27% lower than the Orlando citywide average ($1,747).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Catalina vs Orlando How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

61.5% +80%

Orlando: 34.1%

Average gross rent

$1,283 -27%

Orlando: $1,747

Average HH income

$45,622 -34%

Orlando: $69,268

Poverty rate

19.9% +28%

Orlando: 15.5%

Renter share

73.0% +21%

Orlando: 60.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5–5.3

Why Catalina scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

62% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

73% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

19.9% below poverty line · Range 4.7–5.2 across tracts

5.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts

1.8

Risk score comparison

Catalina vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Catalina

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12095014503	5.3	5,724	70%	$1,049
12095014606	5	8,127	56%	$1,447

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 52%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 96%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Catalina

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,687Total filings (sum)
9.82%Avg annual filing rate
20.1%Peak year (2007)
9.45%Latest filed (2016)

Frequently asked

About Catalina

What is the eviction-risk score for Catalina?

Catalina scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Catalina compare to Orlando overall?

Catalina scores 2.2 points higher than Orlando overall (2.9/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,283 vs $1,747.

What is the average rent in Catalina?

Average gross rent in Catalina is $1,283/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Catalina residents are renters?

73% of Catalina households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Orlando). The neighborhood has 13,851 residents.

Is Catalina a high social-vulnerability area?

Catalina sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Catalina have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Catalina is census tract 12095014503 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.3, a spread of 0.3 points.

How safe is Catalina for landlords?

Catalina carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orlando as a whole (2.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Catalina?

Catalina has 14,405 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Catalina

5.1 Park Central 4 tracts · pop 17,220 5.2 Americana 4 tracts · pop 17,494 4.8 Washington Shores 2 tracts · pop 7,085 4.1 Florida Center 3 tracts · pop 15,580 4.5 Clear Lake Views 2 tracts · pop 7,384 5 Carver Shores 4 tracts · pop 18,953

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orlando

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Catalina.

5.1 Windhover 1 tracts · pop 6,093 5.1 Ventura 2 tracts · pop 7,379 5.1 Carver Shores 4 tracts · pop 18,953 4.9 Richmond Heights 1 tracts · pop 3,766 5.3 Callahan 1 tracts · pop 3,123 4.8 Washington Shores 2 tracts · pop 7,085

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