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Neighborhood · Orlando, FL

Catalina Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 13,851 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Catalina is a 2-tract neighborhood of Orlando, FL, population 13,851. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Against a Orlando baseline of 34.1%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $45,622 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. At $1,283 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Orlando commands. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 2,687 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 20.1% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 10.3% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #2 of 43 neighborhoods in Orlando.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Catalina vs Orlando How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.5% +80%
Orlando: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$1,283 -27%
Orlando: $1,747
Average HH income
$45,622 -34%
Orlando: $69,268
Poverty rate
19.9% +28%
Orlando: 15.5%
Renter share
73.0% +21%
Orlando: 60.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Catalina scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
73% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
19.9% below poverty line · Range 4.7–5.2 across tracts
5.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Catalina vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Catalina score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4CatalinaNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Catalina

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12095014606 5.4 8,127 56% $1,447
12095014503 5.4 5,724 70% $1,049
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Catalina

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,687Total filings (sum)
  • 9.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.1%Peak year (2007)
  • 9.45%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked

About Catalina

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Catalina?

Catalina scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Catalina compare to Orlando overall?

Catalina scores 1.4 points higher than Orlando overall (4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,283 vs $1,747.
Q3

What is the average rent in Catalina?

Average gross rent in Catalina is $1,283/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Catalina residents are renters?

73% of Catalina households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Orlando). The neighborhood has 13,851 residents.
Q5

Is Catalina a high social-vulnerability area?

Catalina sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Catalina have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Catalina is census tract 12095014606 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Catalina for landlords?

Catalina carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orlando as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Catalina?

Catalina has 14,405 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Catalina

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orlando

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Catalina.

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